Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.376869 0.415461 0.456810 0.504491 0.558062 0.616506 0.685248
2025-07-13 0.318155 0.372204 0.434254 0.511119 0.604274 0.714138 0.854431
2025-07-20 0.284249 0.345922 0.420076 0.516529 0.639728 0.793239 1.001223
2025-07-27 0.259758 0.326276 0.409292 0.521665 0.671572 0.867180 1.145904
2025-08-03 0.239551 0.309041 0.398557 0.523943 0.697636 0.933641 1.285350
2025-08-10 0.223999 0.295900 0.391168 0.528775 0.726027 1.004167 1.436275
2025-08-17 0.205397 0.276802 0.373699 0.517381 0.729496 1.038396 1.536162
2025-08-24 0.195001 0.267975 0.369348 0.523620 0.758149 1.110935 1.700921
2025-08-31 0.183122 0.256022 0.359415 0.520440 0.771767 1.161069 1.834588
2025-09-07 0.174100 0.247444 0.353553 0.522532 0.793100 1.224396 1.995983
2025-09-14 0.163548 0.235837 0.342269 0.515154 0.798373 1.261646 2.116049
2025-09-21 0.154641 0.226085 0.333047 0.510122 0.806669 1.304057 2.249119
2025-09-28 0.142557 0.210908 0.314732 0.489470 0.787793 1.299313 2.297227
2025-10-05 0.137587 0.206463 0.312913 0.495664 0.815026 1.377523 2.511055
2025-10-12 0.132825 0.202011 0.310711 0.500896 0.840765 1.455118 2.732907
2025-10-19 0.128380 0.197770 0.308518 0.505850 0.866210 1.534280 2.967637
2025-10-26 0.123734 0.192908 0.304952 0.508048 0.886612 1.605537 3.194731
2025-11-02 0.119882 0.189120 0.302909 0.512710 0.911843 1.688370 3.457509
2025-11-09 0.113522 0.180788 0.292639 0.501718 0.906125 1.708582 3.582746
2025-11-16 0.110514 0.177966 0.291683 0.507737 0.933957 1.799878 3.883678
2025-11-23 0.106207 0.172684 0.286104 0.504669 0.943341 1.853248 4.101748
2025-11-30 0.102983 0.169109 0.283329 0.506687 0.963094 1.930558 4.389053
2025-12-07 0.098570 0.163228 0.276090 0.499568 0.963295 1.964826 4.572356